Presidential Odds 2024 Nate Silver. Prognosticator nate silver on tuesday shared data that showed vice president kamala harris leading former president donald trump in the national polls average by almost. The presidential model will be available to silver bulletin subscribers beginning in june.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. State and national polling averages and how they’ve changed over time.